东盟与中日韩(ASEAN+3)正处于日益复杂的全球环境之中,全球经济碎片化加剧,地缘政治波动上升。得益于稳健的宏观经济基本面,本地区迄今展现出较强韧性。然而,前景仍面临挑战。尤其是,在疫情以来大规模财政支持已被广泛动用的背景下,东盟与中日韩经济体如何在不确定性高企的外部环境中维持这种韧性。
“东盟与中日韩区域经济展望与财政政策研讨会”将于7月2日在北京举行,本次会议由中国人民大学国际金融学院、东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)与中国新闻网共同主办,中国人民大学财政金融学院、中国人民大学国家金融研究院与中国人民大学国际货币研究所(IMI)联合主办,会议主题将围绕“全球不确定性下的东盟与中日韩地区经济展望”展开。届时,会议将从宏观经济和财政政策两个视角,探讨如何应对全球不确定性。AMRO将介绍其对区域经济前景和风险的评估,并围绕日益不确定的外部环境展开讨论。会议还将安排有关东盟与中日韩财政发展的专题介绍,并讨论政策制定者如何应对结构性经济与财政压力。
The “Seminar on ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook and Fiscal Policy” will be held in Beijing on July 2, 2026. This Seminar is hosted by School of International Finance, Renmin University of China, ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) and China News Network, co-hosted by School of Finance, National Academy of Financial Research and International Monetary Institute (IMI), Renmin University of China. Under the theme of “Regional Economic Prospects of ASEAN+3 under Global Uncertainties”, the Seminar will examine how to respond to rising global uncertainties from both macroeconomic and fiscal policy perspectives. AMRO will present its assessment of the regional economic outlook and key risks, followed by discussions on the increasingly external uncertainties. The Seminar will also arrange presentations on fiscal developments in the ASEAN+3 region and explore how policymakers address structural economic and fiscal pressures.
会议时间
2026年7月2日(星期四)14:00—17:20
会议地点
中国人民大学中关村校区
主办单位
中国人民大学国际金融学院
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室
中国新闻网
主办单位
中国人民大学财政金融学院
中国人民大学国家金融研究院
中国人民大学国际货币研究所(IMI)
会议语言
中英文
Time
14:00pm-17:20pm, Thursday, July 2, 2026
Location
Zhongguancun Campus, Renmin University of China
Hosts
School of International Finance, Renmin University of China
ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO)
China News Network
Co-hosts
School of Finance, Renmin University of China
National Academy of Financial Research, Renmin University of China
International Monetary Institute, Renmin University of China
Languages
Chinese/English
会议议程
13:30—14:00 签到
14:00—14:30 开幕致辞与主旨演讲环节
14:00—14:05 主持人开场并介绍与会嘉宾
14:05—14:10 欢迎致辞I
14:10—14:15 欢迎致辞II
14:15—14:30 主旨演讲
14:30—14:45 专题报告I:全球不确定性与区域经济一体化
14:45—15:45 圆桌讨论I
15:45—16:00 茶歇
16:00—16:20 专题报告II:全球不确定性下的财政政策
16:20—17:10 圆桌讨论II
17:10—17:20 闭幕致辞
13:30—14:00 Registration
14:00—14:15 Opening Remarks and Keynote Address Session
14:00—14:05 Opening Remarks and Guest Introduction by Host
14:05—14:10 Welcome Remarks I
14:10—14:15 Welcome Remarks II
14:15—14:30 Keynote Address
14:30—14:45 Presentation I: Global Uncertainty and Regional Economic Integration
14:45—15:45 Panel Discussion I
15:45—16:00 Coffee Break
16:00—16:20 Presentation II: Fiscal Policy Under Global Uncertainty
16:20—17:10 Panel Discussion II
17:10—17:20 Closing Remarks
主要参会嘉宾
魏本华
Wei Benhua
国家外汇管理局原副局长、东盟与中日韩(10+3)宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)原主任
Former Deputy Administrator, State Administration of Foreign Exchange; Former Director of AMRO
张之骧
Zhang Zhixiang
中国人民银行国际司原司长、中国驻IMF原执行董事
Former Director General of International Department of PBoC; Former IMF Executive Director for China
鄂志寰
E Zhihuan
全国港澳研究会理事、国际金融专家
Director of Chinese Association of Hong Kong & Macao Studies; International Finance Expert
何 东
He Dong
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)首席经济学家
Chief Economist, AMRO
梁 季
Liang Ji
中国财政科学研究院公共收入研究中心研究员
Director and Research Fellow, Research Center for Government Revenues, Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences
张 明
Zhang Ming
中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副所长、研究员
Deputy Director and Senior Fellow of Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Science (CASS)
洪承玄
Seung Hyun (Luke) Hong
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)财政监测组负责人
Group Head and Lead Economist, Fiscal Surveillance Group, AMRO
王浩斌
Wang Haobin
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室(AMRO)区域监测组高级经济学家
Senior Economist, Regional Surveillance Group, AMRO
黄国华
Huang Guohua
东盟与中日韩宏观经济研究办公室财政监测组高级经济学家
Senior Economist, Fiscal Surveillance Group, AMRO
玄相伯
Hyun Sangbaek
韩国对外经济政策研究院(KIEP)北京代表处首席代表
Chief Representative, Beijing Office, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
小池一德
Koike Kazunori
日本银行香港办事处首席代表
Chief Representative in Hong Kong, Bank of Japan
曲 强
Qu Qiang
中国人民大学国际货币研究所(IMI)所长助理、中央民族大学区域国别研究院副院长
Assistant Director of International Monetary Institute, Renmin University of China; Associate Dean, Institute of Area Studies, Minzu University of China
校内参会嘉宾
吴晓求
Wu Xiaoqiu
中国人民大学原副校长、国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授
Former Vice President of Renmin University of China; Dean of National Academy of Financial Research; National First-Class Professor
贾俊雪
Jia Junxue
中国人民大学财政金融学院院长、发展规划处处长、
Dean of School of Finance, Renmin University of China; Director of the Office of Development Planning, Renmin University of China
宋 科
Song Ke
中国人民大学国际金融学院(国际金融卓越社科人才培养基地)院长(主任)、国际货币研究所(IMI)副所长
Dean of School of International Finance, Renmin University of China (Director of Training Base for Outstanding Social Science Talents); Deputy Director of International Monetary Institute, Renmin University of China
吕冰洋
Lyu Bingyang
中国人民大学财税研究所执行所长、财政金融学院教授
Executive Director, Institute of Public Finance and Taxation, Renmin University of China; Professor, School of Finance, Renmin University of China
陆利平
Lu Liping
中国人民大学财政金融学院教授、国际货币研究所(IMI)研究员
Professor, School of Finance, Renmin University of China; Research Fellow, International Monetary Institute, Renmin University of China
参与方式